Showing posts with label Andy Pettite. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Andy Pettite. Show all posts

Wednesday, December 24, 2008

The Problem With Teixeria

As Pete Abe states in this post their is going to be a problem with the Mark Teixiera signing. It probably means they don't have room for Andy Pettitte. This was the very reason why I preferred Adam Dunn. On the other hand, they could just forget about the budget and blow it up for one year and worry about payroll next year when they have even more contracts comign off with a weaker free agent class.

Their may be another option though. They could trade either Damon or Nady. Nady probably makes the most sense and might be able to bring back some value to replenish the diminished farm. Its jsut speculation but the Yankees ARE a business and DO have a budget.

Saturday, December 20, 2008

Pettitte to Yanks Inevitable?

Ken Rosenthal thinks that a Pettitte/Yanks deal is inevitable. Hopefully, they can get this done soon.

Friday, December 19, 2008

Andy Pettitte

Things have been mostly quiet with Andy Pettitte. According to this report, he still wants to be a Yankee and things are going well with the negotiations. Things sound like Pettitte's just letting his agents try to squeeze every penny he can out of the Yanks but will eventually return.

I wish they would get a deal done though, Pettitte's non-decision is preventing the Yanks from going all in for Mark Texiera (more on that later). Maybe they already know he`s coming back but selfishly, I`d like to know.

In other news, the Yanks are backing away from Ben Sheets due to injury concerns. So, they may have a decision from Pettitte already.

Sunday, December 14, 2008

How much is Andy Pettitte worth?

Before I write anything else, I want to make it clear that nothing in this post has anything to do with the fact that Pettitte was a member of the dynasty teams. This is totally based on how Pettitte will do in 2009.

The Yanks have one more spot in their rotation to fill. However, after acquiring Sabathia and Burnett they don't have enough money to splurge on Lowe or Sheets. Cashman has offered Pettitte a one year, 10 million dollar deal. If Pettitte accepts this offer then he may prove to be the biggest bargain on the free agent market.


First off, here`s Pettitte's RCA numbers:


2006- 4.11 (93 runs in 203 innings)

2007- 4.44 (103 runs in 209 innings)

2008- 4.05 (90 runs in 200 innings)

This in comparison to the replacement level pitcher.....

2006-5.50 (124 runs in 2o3 innings)

2007- 5.50 (127 runs in 209 innings)

2008- 5.50 (122 runs in 200 innings)


All of this adds up to these values:

2006- 31 runs, 3.1 wins, 17.05 million dollars

2007- 24 runs, 2.4 wins, 13.2 million dollars

2008- 32 runs, 3.2 wins, 17.6 million dollars

First of all we can see that Pettitte's 2008 was hardly the worst year of his career, as some think it is. He has not once over the past 3 years failed to earn the 10 million dollars/year he would be getting for 2009. He eats up innings and their is a lot of value in that.


For one year he`s a safe bet (at least as safe as any pitcher over 30 can be) to deliver 200 average to above average innings. You don't want him as a front of the rotation guy but for one year and 10 million dollars, it would be a big mistake to let him get away.

Thursday, December 11, 2008

Pettitte's Last Chance

Cashman flew in from Vegas this morning to see Andy Pettitte and offer him the final spot in the rotation. If he declines the 10 million dollar offer then the Yanks are going to move on. I`m hoping he accepts and that Cash is willing to bend a little.

Thursday, December 4, 2008

Pettitte

The Yankees want Pettitte back for 10 million. This is the first exact number we`ve heard from the Yankees side. Pettitte wants something closer to the 16 million he got last year. I think they`ll end up agreeing on something at about 12 million. I`d be fine with that.

By the way, Joe Torre doesn't see Pettitte leaving the Yankees to come to LA.

Monday, December 1, 2008

Yankees Offer Arbitration to Nobody

That's right, nobody. Pettitte, Abreu, Mussina, and Pudge all could have been offered arb, but the Yanks chose no to, citing economic reasons. They did not want to risk signing these guys to big contracts. I do not understand this. I think Abreu was unlikely to accept, as he wants a three year deal, and even if he did accept, Bobby Abreu on a one year deal isn't the worst thing in the world. I can understand not offering arbitration to Pudge, because he may have accepted, and Moose is retired, and I still think Pettitte is likely to re-sign with the Yanks. However, I do not understand why Bobby Abreu wasn't offered arbitration. Two draft picks is well worth the risk, especially considering the Yankees will likely give up a lot of draft picks since they would like to make a splash in the free agent market this year.

Friday, November 28, 2008

Pettitte to Dodgers?

By now I`m sure you`ve heard that Pettitte's been talking to Torre and that ned Colletti is may have interest in him. I`m really skeptical of this. The Dodgers wouldn't even re-sign their own guy in Lowe who was much better last year than Pettitte, no way they`re going to give Pettitte what he`s looking for. I think Pettitte's just trying to gain some bargaining power with the Yankees.

That said, the Yankees do have to get a deal done with him soon . This could become serious if the Yankees don't a deal done with him soon. Houston is also still lurking out there. Maybe offer 11-12 million for 2009 with a player option for 2010 for about the same amount figuring that if Pettitte can't pitch he`s not going to want to stick around anyway.

Wednesday, November 5, 2008

2 Years for Pettitte

Andy Pettitte may want a 2 year deal after all. I really don't like this and if the Astros jump into the mix they may face some problems in re-signing him. I wouldn't give Pettitte a multi-year deal unless they have no other choice.

Saturday, September 13, 2008

Pettitte/Moose

Right now the Yankees only two solid starters are clearly Mussina and Pettitte. However, both have contracts up after the year and are getting to that age where you never know when they`ll hit a wall. Despite this, I believe the Yankees need both of them back. Here`s a look at the two of them:

Pettitte`s ERA has taken a jump this year and lately he has struggled greatly. However, his periphereals are still very good. His GB% and his K/BB are both solid. The real problem for Pettitte has been a high BABIP. His FIP is very good at 3.66 as well. For a one year deal I would love to have Pettitte back. The biggest concern with him is retirement.

Mussina has been incredible all year. He`s always been a control pitcher but he`s had the lowest BB/9 of his career this year. That`s been the biggest difference for him. However, his K/9 and GB% both rose as well. He`s managed to overcome a .322 BABIP and a FB which continues to get slower. Looking back at his 2007 nmbers he seemed to have been getting more than a little unlucky as well. His BABIP was an incredibly high .340. The question with him is whether or not he`ll come back on a one year deal. I may actually be willing to go for two years on him.

Lets assume they sign a big free agent starter and bring back one of these guys. Look at this rotation:

1) Wang
2) FA starter
3) Joba
4) Mussina/Pettitte
5) Hughes (?)

This isn't bad but Joba will be starting 2009 in the bullpen. Who is the 5th starter then for the first few months? Aceves? Kennedy? Igawa? Not to mention we don't have much depth in the scenario. I just don't feel comfortable at all in this scenario. If they can sign two top FA starters then I`m fine with it but what are the chances of that happening?

Wednesday, September 10, 2008

Pete Abraham

Although his analysis is usually terrible this is a good article. It looks like Pettitte wants to come back. He`ll get a huge salary cut though.

Pettitte Struggles Again

Pettitte's second half struggles have been a dissapointment. I still would like him back as a fifth starter. However, right now I`m starting to second guess myself. The bullpen did very well. Coke has been especially impressive to me. Its always good to have a lot of depth in the bullpen. They`ll get Melancon and others who will get chances as well next year.

The Yankees are in 12th place in all of baseball now. I doubt they`ll be able to drop far enough to get a protected first round pick but their's always hope.

Congratulations to the Angels on clinching the division. Good luck to them in the playoffs. Especially if they play Boston in the first round.

Sunday, August 31, 2008

Halladay

Today's loss was no surprise. Roy Halladay is tough even when he's having a bad year. This year he's unhittable. It was nice to see A-Rod hit a HR which shows the boos aren't getting to him that much. Cano had a nice bounce-back game in the field and Alfredo Aceves was great. However, Pettitte's struggles have been worrying me. I`m sure that how he does for the rest of the year will impact whether he wants to retire or come back, if we even want him back.

Friday, August 8, 2008

Correction: Andy Pettitte to Start Sunday

Contrary to prior reports, Andy Pettitte will make his next start on Sunday against Joe Saunders and the Angels. The Yankees still believe that Andy has some fatigue in his left arm, but Andy says he is well enough to play.

Thursday, August 7, 2008

This Has to be a Joke

Phil Hughes, Chien-Ming Wang, Joba, now Andy Pettitte. Andy might miss his next start due to some stiffness in his throwing arm. I'm speechless.

Sunday, March 2, 2008

Spring Recap

I wasn't able to watch much of today's game, but I did see an unimpressive inning from Steven White, and an opposite way double by Jason Giambi, which I was very pleased with. If he can stay healthy, I really think he can be solid contributor. After examining the box score, I can sum it up like this: Aside from Giambi's opposite-field double, he hit a long homerun, as did Jason Lane, who also hit a triple. Pitching wise, Andy Pettitte had a good day, as did LaTroy Hawkins, inducing three groundball outs. Sean Henn unfortunately had a good day, hopefully he won't make the team. Jose Veras also pitched a scoreless inning. Kyle Farnsworth and Brian Bruney picked up right were they left up, sucking.
After the game, the Yankees made their first cuts. No huge surprises; Eric Duncan, Jesus, Eduardo Nunez, and Austin Romine. Tomorrow they play Houston at 1:05.

Monday, February 11, 2008

Pettitte, Knoblauch and Radomski Dropped From Witness List

Congress recently decided not to make accused steroid users/dealers Chuck Knoblauch, Andy Pettitte and Kirk Radomski testify before Congress, because all they would do is distract everyone from the Clemens vs McNamee fight to the death. Presumably, the two will be given their choice of weapon, and the last man standing wins. But seriously, it is believed that Pettitte asked out of testifying because he did not want to implicate Clemens publicly. Regardless, one of these two men is lying to Congress, and hopefully, the truth will come out, and then one of them will likely be tried for perjury.

Monday, January 28, 2008

Knoblauch Swindled by the Feds

The crafty Chuck Knoblauch was tracked down and by the Feds and will give his deposition on Friday. Andy Pettitte is booked for Wednesday also Roger Clemens will be interviewed on Feb. 5.

In other news The Captain held the fifth annual Derek Jeter Celebrity Golf Classic at the Avila Golf & Country Club in Tampa. The golf tournament included 26 foursomes and more than 25 friends and fellow celebrities such as Jorge Posada, Don Zimmer, Tino Martinez, Michael Jordan, Ken Griffey Jr., Morgan Freeman, Greg Anthony, Allan Houston, Annika Sorenstam, and Natalie Gulbis.

D.J. had this to say

"It means a lot to have so many different people come out and give their support," said Jeter, who took ceremonial putts with each foursome as they made their way through the 17th hole. "It's pretty special to have all these celebrities take the time out of their busy schedules to come out here and show that they care."

Do Clemens' Stats Prove Anything?

Randy Hendricks, Roger Clemens' agent attempted to use his statistics to prove that he did not use steroids. He claims that Clemens' longevity is due to his ability to adjust, not due to steroids. When Clemens was first implicated, I thought that the stronger piece of evidence was that fact that he declined in his last four years in Boston, then had a career revival in Toronto. Plenty of pitchers pitch for a while: Randy Johnson, Nolan Ryan, Curt Schilling, David Wells, etc. Some guys just get lucky. Today, after Randy Hendricks' report came out, I looked a little more closely at the statistics, and now I feel that they may not be so incriminating.

In Clemens' last four years in Boston (1993-96), when he allegedly declined, he really was not that bad. Actually, in two of those years he was downright good. In 1993, he had a 4.46 ERA (104 ERA+). This was his worst of those four years, but there is a logical explanation. In the two years previous to that one, he pitched 271.1 and 246.2 innings respectively. This down year could have been due to fatigue. Another possibility is bad luck. FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) takes the luck out of ERA, and his 1993 FIP was 3.90- not bad at all.

The next year, '94, Rocket posted a 2.85 ERA (177 ERA+ 3.69 FIP). Not a down year.

In 1995, Clemens posted a 4.18 ERA (116 ERA+ 4.29 FIP). Not a very good year, but Clemens made just 23 starts due to injury.

In 1996, Clemens had a good year again, with a 3.63 ERA (139 ERA+ 3.46 FIP). So his last four years in Boston were not bad years at all, though maybe not as good as earlier in his career, but that can be expected of someone who threw so many innings at young age.

It's true that in 1997 and 1998 Clemens was legitimately great in Toronto. He was not overly lucky, he was just dominant. Then his next two years in New York were not great, possibly because of the 499.2 IP in his two years in Toronto. Pitchers generally are not consistent year to year, which is probably a better explanation for Clemens' Boston-Toronto transition than steroids or other PEDs. There is still the issue of his longevity and of Andy Pettitte's admission, but the numbers do not incriminate him. That is not to say that he is not guilty, though.

Sunday, January 20, 2008

Roger and Andy Breaking Up?

According to Entertainment Tonight Newsweek Roger Clemens and Andy Pettitte's "Guy Love" was never what the media made it out to be. Pettitte was pissed off at the Rocket for the public airing of his taped phone call with accuser Brian McNamee, which accomplished little. This is what a a friend of both said on the condition of anonymity had to say about it

"They were never as close as they were made out to be, they just sort of went along with it in the media, because it was a good story."

Here is a little video I found to commemorate the gayness of these two Texans