Showing posts with label john smoltz. Show all posts
Showing posts with label john smoltz. Show all posts

Sunday, February 22, 2009

Red Sox Spring Training

Saturday, February 14, 2009

#5 Starter

This is were things get really messy. I really have no idea what Boston is going to do so I`m going to turn this into a post on the 5th starter and the next few guys who will come up when somebody gets hurt.

Yankees- Joba Chamberlain- In his brief time in the majors, Joba has been an incredibly dominating force. In his first real year in the majors he put up an RCA of 2.65 in 102 innings. Yep, that's pretty insane. That is a small sample size though and now that the league has seen him that`ll go up. Personally, I think he`s going to go through some growing pains this year. Still, he`s going to be a big part of the Yankees future, either as the biggest bust in their history or their next ace. Beyond Joba they have some very solid depth. I still have faith in Hughes and Coke and Aceves are both promising. Theirs a few veterans they have as well, like the newly signed Brett Tomko. I haven't totally given up on Ian Kennedy yet either.

Rays- David Price- Honestly, the best comparison I can think of for Price is Joba. Except Joba is a year ahead of Price. In his first year in the pros, Price flew through the minors. He ended up finishing the year in the Ray's ML bullpen. Everybody loves this guy, scouts and statheads alike think he has the potential to be an ace (note the lack of starter/reliever debate over this guy). The question is whether his first year in the majors is more like Hughes or Joba. My gut feeling is that he`ll have a solid year but not much more than that.

Red Sox- Brad Penny- Penny was one of a bunch of buy-low guys that Boston signed this year. He`s coming off of the worst year of his career. He got killed with a 5.35 RCA in 89 innings. So, obviously Epstein is hoping for something more like the previous two years. That's possible but some of the bragging I`ve heard from people north of the New York border goes a bit to far. Anybody hoping for him to be an ace is going to be sorely dissapointed. In 2007 he threw 190 innings and had an RCA of 4.36 and the year before he was a tick better with an RCA of 4.35 in 186 innings. I know Boston has a great medical staff and could get him back to what he used to be. They also have excellent depth though. Around June they`ll get John Smoltz who is still a front of the rotation guy. Clay Buchholz is coming off a bad year but, like Hughes don't give up on him yet.

Conclusion- Yankees- Red Sox- Rays- This was a tough one for me but Joba has more upside than Penny and is a safer bet than Price. Besides that, having Aceves, Hughes, and Kennedy all waiting for the call to the majors encourages me. I think John Smoltz is going to have a very good year as well which is why Boston is ahead of the Rays. Price is very good but just doesn't have a proven track record. This concludes the rotation part of this series which means I will no longer bombard you with RCA calculations. I still have to do catcher, the bullpen, the three outfield spots, and DH. Hopefully, I`ll get another one or two done by the end of the week.

Thursday, January 8, 2009

Boston

Boston made two low key moves yesterday that could end up being very scary if they work out. Rocco Baldelli was signed to a one year deal and so was John Smoltz. Baldelli has been covered here in the past. He`s a great gamble for them to take with very little risk. If he works out he could be an impact player fo them. The only positive I can take from this is that its a one year deal.

John Smoltz is another scary guy. It seems like they`re going to throw a few different injury risks to the back end of their rotation with Penny, Smoltz, and Wakefield. Smoltz got a solid contract but if he works out for them he`s going to kill the Yanks. Then again, theirs a good chance that he`d only be part of the five man rotation if somebody else gets hurt.

Both of these could be busts but they also have the potential to be just as big as Sabathia and Teixeira. Well, maybe not quite, but you get the idea.

Tuesday, September 9, 2008

John Smoltz???!!!!

John Somltz made these comments to Jay Busbee of Atlanta Magazine:

"I say this for the first time, without reservation, if I'm going to bust my butt and if I feel like I'm good enough and it doesn't work out here, I will be pitching somewhere else...My dream scenario would be to pitch in the playoffs again, and that's coming from a guy who's been in 13 of them. To me, that's what I'm about. So if the door gets closed here, it'll have to be explored somewhere else."

I have very little doubt this is just a ploy to get more money out of the Braves. However, its a very interesting thought to consider.

Smoltz has unbelievable numbers, even recently. His FIP's for the past three years (counting a very short 2008) are 3.44, 3.21, and 2.31. His K/BB's are outstanding at 3.84, 4.19, and 4.50. They`re not a result of just low walk totals either. He still strikes guys out. His stuff is still pretty good as well with a fastball in the low 90's.

Yes he is on the wrong side of 40 (not a typo), yes he is coming off of surgery, yes he is coming from the NL, and feel free to make as many Kevin Brown/Randy Johnson comparisons as you want. However, its something worth looking into. He`s been nothing but dominant for the past few years. If negotiations are not working out to well with the Braves could the Yankees swoop in and make him an offer?

Their are other repercussions to this as well. If Smoltz went to a team seeking pitching that may take a team out of the Sabathia sweepstakes. I do still want to emphasize I would still be shocked if he left Braves and pretty much everything I`ve wrote in this post is a complete and utter fantasy.