Showing posts with label jonathan sanchez. Show all posts
Showing posts with label jonathan sanchez. Show all posts

Saturday, December 27, 2008

Nady for Sanchez?

Theirs a few effects of this trade that would go beyond the direct exchange of the players. First of all, it frees up 6 million dollars for another free agent. It won't buy you Manny Ramirez but it gives you enough for Rocco Baldelli.

Baldelli is a big risk and probably won't be as good as Nady. However, dealing Nady allows you to move Damon out of center, to left where he is actually pretty good. Any combination of Baldelli/Gardner/Melky also promises to be well above average in center. This is a big difference in the field from Damon/Swisher in center and Nady in left. Enough to overcome the loss of hitting? Probably not but its fairly close and if the Baldelli gamble pays off then its almost definitely an upgrade. The loss in the outfield is real but not truly significant.

They`d also be getting Jonathan Sanchez. He`s a 26 year old lefty with great stuff. His numbers look bad on the surface but when you look closer they`re actually pretty good. In his first full year in the major leagues last year he had an RCA of 4.40. His biggest problem is that he walks a lot of guys but he gets enough strikeouts to compensate. He will learn the control as he gets older and has the potential to breakout next year and be a top-line player for years to come.

All in all, if the Yanks are looking to trade an extra outfielder then this trade might make a lot of sense for both sides.

Trade Idea

We`re heading into January and most of the big free agents are already off the table. The Yankees have accomplished most of thier goals already. Now they may be looking to shed some payroll by trading one or two of Swisher/Nady/Damon/Matsui. Yesterday I outlined why Nady would make the most sense to be traded. Now, here`s my ideal trade scenario.

The Giants yesterday signed Randy Johnson to a one year deal. This adds to what was already a surplus of pitching. Their biggest problem is a lack of offense. They had one of the worst lineups in the league last year and, truthfully, are really missing Barry Bonds. They pretty much sucked last year but the Randy Johnson signing indicates they may be looking to compete in 2009 and in the NL West, anything can happen.

Jonathan Sanchez is a lefty with great stuff for the Giants. He`s coming off two bad years and the Giants may be willing to trade him. Hidden behind his high ERA's are some pretty nice periphereals. He's 25 years old and now would be a great time to buy low on him.

On the other hand, we have the Yankees. They`ve got a glut of corner outfielders and trading Nady makes a ton of sense for various reasons. Nady is coming off a career year and some are calling it his breakout year. Brian Sabean and the Giants could take a gamble on Nady hoping to get a star and compete in 2009. The Yanks could also throw in Phil Coke as a solid B level prospect.

So we have this:

Yankees Receive: Jonathan Sanchez

Giants Receive: Xavier Nady + Phil Coke

I`ll elaborate on the full impact of this trade later, I`m kind of tired right now. Think this is a fair trade guys?