Showing posts with label pointless speculation. Show all posts
Showing posts with label pointless speculation. Show all posts

Sunday, February 8, 2009

How Long?

The question often being raised now about Alex Rodriguez is how long he was juicing. While driving yesterday I had a thought. Does anybody else remember all the talk about A-Rod slimming down before the 2007 season? Maybe I`m imagining it because I can't find a link but I recall that. That's a warning sign for somebody getting off the juice. Just a thought......

Friday, November 28, 2008

Third Peavy Team?

The latest rumor in the Jake Peavy sweapstakes is that Kevin Towers has found a third team to work with the Cubs and Padres on the Peavy trade. This probably isn't true, and if you`re not interested in pointless speculation on pointless speculation you should probably skip this post, on the other hand you then probably have no interest in the Hot Stove either.

Earlier I suggested Derrek Lee as an attractive trade option. Now we know that the Cubs are looking for ML ready pitching prospects. They also seem willing to deal Lee. Maybe Kennedy/Aceves+Coke+Matsui would get it done with the Yankees eating some of Matsui's salary for 2009. Then they send Kennedy/Aceves and Coke along with all the other prospects which were rumored for Peavy. Matsui can fill the void Lee would leave to some extent. Lee is an excellent first baseman as well as a good hitter. Then Swisher can move to LF or RF where he is excellent. If they want they can get into the Dunn/Texiera/Ramirez bidding as well and have Swisher and Damon split time in center.

Wednesday, November 26, 2008

Buy Low on Millwood

Theirs been plenty of rumors going around about Rangers starters Kevin Millwood and Vicente Padilla. Both have posted high ERA's the past two years though and have drawn little interest. Padilla just isn't very good but I think Millwood might be a good opportunity for the Yankees to buy low on a solid, back of the rotation innings eater rather than hand out a huge deal to Burnett, or even Lowe if his price gets to high.

At first glance, Millwood looks like a guy who hit an early and steep decline. It looks worse when you realize that the Rangers owe him 11 million for 2009 and if he hits 180 innings then his 12 million dollar option for 2010 would become guarenteed. In a trade the Rangers would probably pick up a portion of this.

However, a closer look at his periphereals reveals a pretty solid pitcher. Over the past three years his BABIP has increased every year. In 2006 it was a slightly unlucky .313. After that it got much more extreme. In 2007 it was .348 and, finally, last year it become incredible .366. His FIP's over this time were 3.87, 4.55, and 4.02. His IP totals were 215, 172.2, and 168.2 which isn't fantastic but certainly better than Burnett, Penny, or Sheets who may be the backup plans for free agency if they fail to sign Lowe or Sabathia. If the Yankees are looking for an innings eater at the back of the rotation by the end of the offseason, they should definitely take a look at Kevin Millwood for 2 years.

Friday, October 3, 2008

In Retrospect.....

Isn't it weird how everything in baseball is connected? The Yankees traded Juan Rivera and Nick Johnson to the Expos/Nationals for Javier Vazquez. Then they proceded to send Javier Vazquez and Dioner Navarro to Arizona for Randy Johnson. Who was then traded back to Arizona for Ross Ohlendorf, Kevin Whelan, Anthony Claggett, and Steven Jackson. Then Ross Ohlendorf and Jose Tabata were traded to Pittsburgh for Xavier Nady. What happens next?